— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

I was reading a blog the other day from noted Silicon Valley blogger Om Malik, and I wanted to share my thoughts on it: I think Om is absolutely right about the "online storage" market – most of the attempts to support such services with advertising have failed miserably and it's amazing to me to that people keep trying. Only Google, Yahoo, or other portals have much chance of being successful with a free ad-supported collaboration service. Few people are willing to pay for these services given the wide range of free options already available.

It seems to me that online storage is a solution looking for a problem. What exactly is the problem? Data protection? Photo Sharing? Remote access? Publishing and file sharing? Syncing multiple devices? The more features you throw into these products, the worse they seem to sell.

Most of the products that purport to "do everything" lack focus, are hard to market, and have not been notable financial successes. Before I started Carbonite, I was looking to buy an online backup service for my daughter who had already had two hard drive crashes. I remember looking at xDrive and saying to myself "This product does so many things, I can't figure out what it's for." The marketing message was hopeless!

Pure, simple, set-and-forget online backup is thriving, thankfully. Hundreds of thousands of people now pay $50 per year to back up their PCs with Carbonite. We've enjoyed 26 consecutive months of double-digit month-over-month revenue growth. And investors and corporations are paying good money for companies in this space – Mozy sold out to EMC for $63M and Swapdrive sold out to Symantec for $123M, to name a couple. Online backup (as opposed to storage) is a great subscription business. You pay your money and your worries go away. Simple.

Amazon is the only online storage company that has really found a market, and that market, as Om points out, is all the little companies that are trying to put lipstick on the service and sell it to the next guy. And Amazon charges real money for their service.

And while I agree that there is no clear leader in this collaboration space (my bet would be for Google, long term), there are clear leaders in Online Backup: NPD Group, the company that surveys consumers to rank various consumer products, recently started covering the online backup market and ranks Carbonite as #1 in the market. I think that when the dust settles in four or five years, almost every PC is going to ship with online backup built-in (every Packard Bell in Europe ships with Carbonite pre-loaded with similar deals in the US close behind), you'll be able to buy online backup (and maybe online storage) from your ISP, and online backup may be bundled with other data protection services, such as anti-virus. There will be two or three leading players in the space with tens of millions of subscribers each, and a bunch of little guys occupying various niches.

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

The news that AOL is trying to sell off XDrive in a fire sale (asking price: $5M vs. estimated $30M they paid) says a lot about the difficulty of mixing business models. When we were out raising our first round of venture capital two years ago, I can't tell you how many times I heard 'I think Google or AOL is just going to end up giving this away.' Well, they are in fact just about giving it away — but it's the company, not the product!

In my opinion, there were business problems AND product problems. AOL's EVP Kevin Conroy explained in an email to employees:

“

To effectively grow the XDrive online storage business we would need to focus on subscription revenues vs. monetizing through advertising revenue, and this business model is not in strategic alignment with our company's goals.

AOL is having plenty of problems with their core media business, let alone trying to build a subscription revenue business on the side. Mixing two totally different business models in one organization is never a wise idea, which is why it's not likely that Google or Yahoo will go down this path. An encrypted backup can't be indexed, so it's of little value to a company whose primary business is search and advertising. Backup is a background application and shouldn't be in the user's face all the time, therefore, I'm not sure how you would get any advertising revenue off of it.

The second problem was the product. There was a time when XDrive was basically backup. Then they added file sharing, storage in the cloud, photo sharing, and a zillion other features, probably thinking that if they had more features it would sell better. Wrong. Every feature added complexity. The success of Carbonite is based on our motto: "Backup. Simple." What XDrive delivered was "Backup (and a whole bunch of other things) complicated." When are engineers going to recognize why products like the iPod are so successful? What's wrong with a device that just plays your songs? Or compare the web pages for google.com and aol.com; is there not an inverse relationship between the amount of stuff on the page to the amount of money in the bank?

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

I wanted to bring to your attention another very nice review of Carbonite. This one, by Mike, at Simply Offsite is thoughtful and balanced, IMHO. In the comments on his blog, I did try to explain why it's very hard for Carbonite to have an "estimated time to completion" indication for the initial backup like some other backup services do. The reason, in short, is that Carbonite allocates bandwidth dynamically so that it never interferes with your browsing. If you're using the Internet for other things, Carbonite will automatically slow down to get out of the way. So we can't tell you how long your backup is going to take because it depends on whether you'll be using your computer in the meantime. Other backup services transfer data at a steady pace. So while that makes the backup time predictable, it also means that your computer is going to feel really sluggish while the backup is going on – not a good thing.

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

I just had to comment on a video that I saw on CNN.com (The transcript can be found on the Data Doctors website). The answer given by "the Data Doctor" is a little strange – the guy loves online backup but he doesn't like unlimited backup plans like Carbonite. He seems to think that they are hobbled in some way. This doesn't make an ounce of sense and it would have been good for the "doctors" to check their facts before making such pronouncements. The assertion that vendors with unlimited backup somehow throttle or limit backup speed or capacity in some way is just plain wrong. I know it's not the case with Carbonite, and I suspect that our competitors, like Mozy, similarly do not encumber their unlimited offers. It's amazing how these rumors and "common wisdoms" spread on the Internet and how infrequently experts actually bother to check the facts.

I love these guys for promoting online backup, but I wish they would have reported unlimited backup for the incredible deal that it actually is. I wish they would have said, "With disk storage costs dropping like a stone, vendors like Carbonite are able to offer truly unlimited capacity for a fixed price. Yeah, they probably lose money on a small percentage of their users, but by making it unlimited they keep the user from having to make a lot of compromises and choices."

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

Recently, online storage space startup divShare announced on their blog a recent security breach by "a malicious user." Lucky for them, only basic profile information available through the database was accessed during the intrusion. But the important question here is what else could have been taken by a more skilled trespasser?

Many people think that backup is a simple application – what's so hard about backing up a PC?   I remember one of my MIT students grousing about Google's success: "Anyone can write a search engine," he said.  Backing up the data is not the problem. The problem is dealing with huge volumes, millions of database transactions, hundreds of thousands of customers, and all the complexity that this implies – all while making sure that there is 100% security.  Carbonite backs up over 50 million new files every day without losing any of them.  Like any other web site, we constantly get attacked by hackers, but we have enough security measures in place that these attacks are always unsuccessful. As I mentioned in a previous post, Carbonite was one of only two backup services that the guys at Heise Security weren’t able to crack. 

If you’re doing your engineering properly, online backup can be made to be extremely secure.  For instance, Carbonite starts with encrypting the data BEFORE it leaves your PC so that by the time we get it, it's already useless to an intruder in the very unlikely event that someone acutally gains access to our system. We also make sure that the authentication is rock solid, so that there are no "man in the middle" vulnerabilities.  And, we actually pay people to constantly test our defenses. 

After we get your encrypted files, we want to make sure that we don't lose them, so we store all your data on RAID-6 redundant arrays that are 36 million times more reliable than a single drive.  The main Carbonite data center is located in a "bomb-proof" building, alongside those of major Boston financial institutions and telco companies.

Online backup is a hot area right now and you'll see more startups entering the space over the next couple of years.  Not all of them will know enough about security to be really bullet-proof.  It isn't easy or cheap, but I can tell you that for Carbonite it's a live-or-die proposition. 

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

Although it didn't come as a surprise, the news about the SwapDrive acquisition has caused quite a stir in the industry.  Yesterday, we were in touch with eWeek and Backupreview.info, two sites that wanted to share Dave’s view on the acquisition.  eWeek published an article as well as a blog post that included much of what Dave posted on our blog yesterday. BackupReview.info also posted a Q & A to share Dave's thoughts with the online backup industry.

In addition, we issued the following press release:

June 11, 2008

Online Backup Continues to Emerge Mainstream as Old Industry Giant
Snaps up Another Established Backup Brand

BOSTON — (BUSINESS WIRE) — David Friend, CEO and co-founder of online data backup company Carbonite, says online backup is continuing to emerge mainstream, as illustrated by another old industry giant gobbling up an established online backup player.

Symantec acknowledged the truth of reports yesterday that it acquired SwapDrive and its companies, Backup.com and WhaleMail.com, leaving Carbonite as one of the last-standing large independent online backup services.

“Frankly, I was surprised that the price was so low, given how hot this market is,” Friend said. “However, that's the danger of being a white label provider to someone like Symantec. It's like the lawnmower company that sells 80 percent of its output to a major retailer. One day they come along and make you ‘an offer you can’t refuse,’ so to speak.”

In the past year, Mozy has been acquired by EMC and Arsenal Digital was acquired by IBM. In previous years Connected and LiveVault were acquired by Iron Mountain, and EVault was acquired by Seagate Technologies

“The online backup space is hot and everyone is suddenly interested in getting into the game,” Friend said. “Symantec realized you can protect your PC with antivirus, anti-spyware, and so forth, but the most important thing to protect is your data. Only online backup provides that protection. No anti-anything can keep your hard drive from crashing or keep a burglar from stealing your computer.”

Carbonite recently passed its 200 millionth file restored and has backed up more than three billion files for consumers and small businesses.

“One by one our competitors have been snapped up by big old companies and we are standing alone as the top independent backup provider,” Friend said. “We’re poised to become the trusted brand in online backup, much like Norton emerged for anti-virus. With a simple and trustworthy product, we are in a position to continue our rapid growth.”

About Carbonite

Carbonite launched its Online PCBackup™ service in May 2006. Carbonite’s industry-first offer of unlimited backup space for a flat low price revolutionized the market for consumer and small business backup services. So far the company has backed up more than 2.5 billion files, has restored more than 160 million lost files for its customers and has a large data center where capacity is measured in petabytes. There are Carbonite users in nearly 100 countries.

Founded in 2005, Carbonite believes that computer users should not have to think about backup. The company’s mission is to provide an affordable, reliable, secure and easy-to-use solution for the mainstream computer user. Carbonite is available to consumers and small business through numerous channels, including its corporate Web site, major US retailers and international distributors. For more information, please visit www.carbonite.com.

— Alison

Symantec announced today that they have acquired Swapdrive for $123 million. Swapdrive is the white-label online backup company that has been providing the free 2GB offer that is included with every copy of Norton 360. Frankly, I was surprised that the price wasn't higher given how hot this market is. However, that's the danger of being a white-label provider to someone like Symantec. It's like the little lawnmower company that sells 80% of it's output to Sears. One day they come along and make you "an offer you can't refuse," so to speak.

From what we hear, the take rate on the Norton 360 backup option has been pretty good. The bundle definitely makes sense: you can protect your PC with antivirus, anti-spyware, and so forth, but the most important thing is to protect your data. And only online backup provides that protection. No anti-anything can keep your hard drive from crashing or keep a burglar from stealing your computer.

One by one our competitors have been snapped up by big old companies. LiveVault, EVault, Connected, and most of the old-line enterprise online backup companies have been bought. Mozy was recently bought by EMC for $76M. And now SwapDrive for a reported $123M.

Our ambitions go far beyond the white-label strategy of Swapdrive. In the consumer space, Carbonite now has 11% brand recognition. Swapdrive is probably 0. Norton was one of the early providers of anti-virus software and built a brand that, for a while, was almost synonymous with anti-virus in the consumer and business markets. We’re trying to do the same thing with backup – that’s why you hear our endorsement ads on radio shows with hosts like Howard Stern, Rush Limbaugh, and others. In fact, I often tell our employees that we’re going to be to online backup what Norton is to anti-virus. While we have lots of co-marketing and reselling deals, it should be clear to everyone that one of our goals is to be the trusted brand name in online backup.

The online backup space is hot. Everyone is suddenly interested in getting into the game. We just cut a deal with a leading PC manufacturer (announcement shortly) that is starting to ship their PCs with a free subscription to Carbonite pre-loaded. In a few years, online backup will be part of the pre-install on every PC. Why? Because when your hard drive crashes and you lose all your family pictures, you don’t blame Seagate or Western Digital – you blame your PC manufacturer. It’s a big brand liability issue for the PC manufacturers. Carbonite can make that problem go away for a PC manufacturer. Similarly, bundling online backup with anti-virus makes sense and we’re pursuing partnership deals.

When you look out 5 years, I think almost everyone will be backing up their PC using services like Carbonite. Broadband is getting cheaper and faster, and disk storage costs are dropping like a rock. The alternatives don’t look very attractive: a) don’t backup and risk losing everything, b) buy an external hard drive. External hard drives are not ideal for backups because they usually sit right next to your computer, so if someone breaks in and steals your computer, or if it is damaged by fire, flood, or virus attack, both the computer and the hard drive will go bye-bye. Plus they are prone to failure (roughly 3% per year die) – a RAID6 array that stores your data at Carbonite is 36 million times more reliable than an external hard drive.

We think Carbonite is a much better product than Swapdrive (we are of coursed biased in that regard) — it’s much simpler to use, and much less expensive.

We just want to keep building the best online backup company in the world and hopefully take it public in a couple of years.

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

I'd like to draw your attention to an article from Heise Security that claims that some online backup services are not secure. I’m pleased that Carbonite was among the two that the writers were unable to compromise. While an article like this is not exactly good publicity for the online backup industry, if their findings are true (and I believe they are), some of these vendors deserve to be criticized for bringing weak products to market that damage the reputation of the whole industry. I agree with the sentiment expressed on Backup Review: "Online backup, like online banking and online credit card transactions, can be made to be very secure, but not everyone is going to do it right."

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite

I read a blog post from Australia today hinting that Google may be getting into the backup business. Actually, what this article says is, "Online backup services allow people to use the internet like a hard drive." Those are their words, not ours. Carbonite thinks backup is a lot more than just disk space in the cloud.

Think about the problem you’re trying to solve: Tomorrow you might wake up and find out that your hard drive has crashed and everything on your PC is gone. Or maybe you’re like me and you leave your laptop in a taxi in NY and watch in frustration as it disappears around the corner forever. Or maybe you’ve been working on that big presentation for the last week and at the last minute you do something dumb and erase it.

There have been rumours about Google and Microsoft getting into the backup business for more than a year. Microsoft finally unveiled their entry called Windows Live SkyDrive. Google’s rumoured "G-drive" has yet to appear, but we’re guessing it will be similar to Sky Drive – less about automated backup and more about collaboration, file sharing, and storing a limited number of active documents in the cloud. It will not be free. Like SkyDrive, you’ll get a certain amount of space for free, and you’ll have to pay for more. Compared with Carbonite, it will be expensive for most users. It will not encrypt your data because encrypting make sharing applications nearly impossible. And it won’t automatically back up everything on your PC as we do. You’ll have to make a lot of choices and think about it each time.

Our idea of backup is that it should be like buying car insurance – once you purchase it, you put it in the drawer until disaster strikes. The less intrusive it is, the better. The one feature of SkyDrive that I like is the ability to access a backed up file remotely in an emergency. I was recently on a business trip and forgot to bring a file that I had on my home computer. It would have been nice to get it from my home computer’s Carbonite backup. We’ve figured out a way to do this that preserves the encryption and security of Carbonite’s backup, and I am hoping we can get this feature into a release later this year.

— Dave
CEO, Carbonite